Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006384 0.007362 0.008505 0.009955 0.011771 0.014003 0.017011
2025-10-26 0.005086 0.006278 0.007816 0.010003 0.013138 0.017646 0.024997
2025-11-02 0.004287 0.005521 0.007215 0.009816 0.013917 0.020566 0.033288
2025-11-09 0.003658 0.004846 0.006549 0.009308 0.013977 0.022282 0.040454
2025-11-16 0.003219 0.004362 0.006059 0.008932 0.014096 0.024080 0.048913
2025-11-23 0.002986 0.004140 0.005917 0.009073 0.015131 0.028017 0.065547
2025-11-30 0.002736 0.003861 0.005639 0.008915 0.015544 0.030806 0.082030
2025-12-07 0.002501 0.003577 0.005315 0.008610 0.015574 0.032719 0.098147
2025-12-14 0.002331 0.003379 0.005109 0.008490 0.015962 0.035753 0.123480
2025-12-21 0.002248 0.003315 0.005123 0.008794 0.017401 0.042577 0.182181
2025-12-28 0.002195 0.003293 0.005207 0.009254 0.019371 0.052554 0.299240
2026-01-04 0.002103 0.003195 0.005139 0.009377 0.020518 0.060649 0.454140
2026-01-11 0.001972 0.003029 0.004945 0.009235 0.021031 0.067431 0.681208
2026-01-18 0.001875 0.002915 0.004841 0.009289 0.022197 0.078888 1.254212
2026-01-25 0.001764 0.002769 0.004657 0.009121 0.022617 0.087402 2.189691
2026-02-01 0.001637 0.002582 0.004373 0.008662 0.021931 0.088994 3.057266
2026-02-08 0.001533 0.002431 0.004149 0.008321 0.021565 0.092561 4.871829
2026-02-15 0.001482 0.002374 0.004110 0.008448 0.022940 0.110750 20.720085
2026-02-22 0.001411 0.002276 0.003977 0.008305 0.023257 0.121885 110.657004
2026-03-01 0.001335 0.002163 0.003804 0.008029 0.022967 0.127641 1364.618675
2026-03-08 0.001278 0.002084 0.003697 0.007919 0.023337 0.141266 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001255 0.002068 0.003726 0.008195 0.025508 0.182485 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001243 0.002072 0.003798 0.008612 0.028603 0.254729 NaN